Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Making a cancer cluster disappear – Center for Public Integrity

TEXAS CITY, Texas — It began along with a headache; then came shaking of the hands. Leuvell Malone’s wife noticed unusual behavior. He strained to button his shirt straight and crashed the vehicle in to the hot-water heater in the garage. Finally, a seizure landed the 55-year-old chemical worker in the hospital.

His doctor at very first believed Malone could have actually experienced a stroke. yet it turned out to be worse compared to that. The father of four had a rare and deadly brain tumor.

During his 32 years of greasing machines at the sprawling Union Carbide plant south of Houston, Malone feared the chemicals he breathed could one day make him or her sick, his sons recall. So he reported his illness to the local office of the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration.

That joined November 1978. Merely a few days later, Bobby Hinson, one of Malone’s co-workers, died of the same rare tumor, known as glioblastoma. He was 49 years old. OSHA inspectors went to the plant to locate out exactly how several others workers there had died of brain cancer.

To their surprise, the plant’s medical director already had compiled a list of 10 names. “To walk in the front door free of tracing through the population and come up along with 10 brain cancers is Merely startling,” an OSHA investigator, Dr. Victor Alexander, told a local reporter. Malone would certainly die Merely three months after he was diagnosed.

More compared to 7,500 men had worked at the plant since it opened in 1941. Tracking those that had died was a daunting task. It took three years, yet scientists at OSHA and their brethren at the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, or NIOSH, would certainly locate 23 brain-tumor deaths there — double the normal rate. It was the largest cluster of work-related brain tumors ever reported, and it became national news, catching the attention of The Washington PostThe brand-new York Times and even Walter Cronkite.

However, a Focus for Public Integrity review of thousands of once-confidential documents shows that the industry study cited by IARC was flawed, otherwise rigged. Despite the fact that that study was supposed to tally all brain cancer deaths of workers exposed to vinyl chloride, Union Carbide didn’t include Malone’s death. In fact, the company counted only one of the 23 brain-tumor deaths in Texas City.

The Center’s investigation found that due to the means industry officials designed the study, it left out workers known to have actually been exposed to vinyl chloride, including some that had died of brain tumors. Excluding even a few deaths caused by a rare disease can easily dramatically modification the results of a study.

Asked hypothetically just what it would certainly mean if deaths were left out, James J. Collins, the former director of epidemiology at Dow Chemical, which merged along with Union Carbide in 2001, said, “That wouldn’t make fairly good science.”

Richard Lemen, a former U.S. assistant surgeon general and NIOSH deputy director, put it A lot more bluntly: “I believe that borders on criminal.”

The vinyl chloride episode shows just what can easily happen as soon as scientific research is left to companies along with a huge stake in its outcome. After launching a flurry of vinyl chloride studies in the late 1970s, OSHA and NIOSH abruptly stopped under the anti-regulatory climate instilled by the Reagan administration. The chemical industry, meanwhile, continued to update its studies and use them to defend versus lawsuits by people blaming their brain cancers on vinyl chloride. The result was biased research that changed the scientific consensus. The final update of the largest vinyl chloride study is expected to be published this year.

The dominance of industry-funded research for individual chemicals has actually become A lot more common as funding for biological research from the National Institutes of Health has actually become scarcer — declining 23 percent, adjusted for inflation, since 2003, according to the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology. In contrast, industry has actually shown a willingness to spend lavishly on research used in litigation.

The means regulators and courts sometimes ought to rely on scientific research paid for by companies along with a huge financial stake in its outcome.

In a brief statement to the Center, the American Chemistry Council, the trade and lobby group that paid for the industry study, noted that the IARC determination that there is no association between vinyl chloride and brain cancer “was based on inconsistent findings among the available studies, lack of an exposure-response relationship, and small numbers of reported cases in most of the studies.”

Otto Wong, the now-retired author of one of the study updates, expressed concern after hearing the Center’s findings. If industry officials knew ahead of time that they were excluding the deaths of workers that might have actually been exposed, they must have actually designed the study differently, Wong said.

Ongoing environmental hazard

Despite stricter regulations on vinyl chloride in the office since 1975, the question of its health effects remains relevant. PVC plants in places such as Calvert City, Kentucky, and Plaquemine, Louisiana, still emit vinyl chloride in to the air. In 2014, companies reported releasing A lot more compared to 500,000 pounds of it, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. The EPA is expected to decide this year whether to set stricter emission limits for vinyl chloride and others chemicals discharged by PVC plants.

There have actually additionally been notable cases of vinyl chloride contamination. In 2012, a train derailment in Paulsboro, brand-new Jersey, released heavy concentrations of the chemical in to Mantua Creek, sending 250 people to the emergency room and stoking fears of long-term health effects. “I’m going to be worried for the rest of my life,” said Alice Breeman, a mother of three that was caught in the release and sued Conrail, CSX Transportation and Norfolk Southern Railway. CSX and Norfolk Southern have actually since been dismissed as defendants.

In 2014, residents of McCullom Lake, Illinois, settled an eight-year-old lawsuit in which they claimed exposure to vinyl chloride that bled in to groundwater from a nearby chemical plant, now owned by Dow, had caused a cluster of 33 brain tumors. The village has actually Merely over 1,000 residents. Dow accepted no wrongdoing in the settlement, whose terms are confidential.

Today, all legal disputes and regulatory actions on vinyl chloride ought to rely heavily on industry studies offered the dearth of independent research. An industry-sponsored update in 2000 — the largest and most-cited vinyl chloride study — reported 36 brain cancer deaths at 37 vinyl chloride plants among workers employed from 1942 to 1972. Despite the small number of cancers, that rate was 42 percent better compared to just what would certainly have actually been expected in the general population.

By the slimmest of margins, however, the number of deaths failed to meet a standard known as statistical significance – at least a 95-percent certainty that the higher rate of brain cancer was not merely a fluke. Even yet another death could have actually altered that conclusion.

The Focus was able to scrutinize exactly how that study was designed and conducted after obtaining nearly 200,000 internal industry documents from lawyer William Baggett Jr. He spent nine years on a lawsuit filed by Elaine Ross, whose husband, Dan, worked at a vinyl-chloride plant in Lake Charles, Louisiana, and died from brain cancer in 1990 at the age of 46. The case was settled 15 years ago for several million dollars, Baggett said, adding that the exact terms were confidential.

Vinyl chloride first gained notoriety in 1974, as soon as it was revealed that four workers at a B.F. Goodrich plant in Louisville had died of angiosarcoma of the liver, a cancer so rare that typically no A lot more compared to 25 cases per year are reported in the United States. The most recent tally of liver angiosarcomas among people exposed to vinyl chloride is 197 worldwide, including 50 in the U.S.

The evidence of carcinogenicity in the Louisville case was so overwhelming that the plastics industry couldn’t deny it. Still, the industry pushed spine versus brand-new regulations, saying they could cost the nation up to 2.2 million jobs and cripple the plastics industry.

OSHA nonetheless went ahead in 1974 along with a office limit for vinyl chloride that was 500 times stricter compared to the one in place as soon as the Louisville cluster became public knowledge. The U.S. Meals and Drug Administration banned the chemical from use in cosmetics and hair spray. Industry predictions of severe losses never came true. The regulations were met.

Built-in weaknesses

The vinyl chloride studies most often cited today — including a major study soon to be published — in reality are updates of a study very first done in 1974. After companies learned of workers suffering from angiosarcoma, they quietly decided to locate out just what others cancers vinyl chloride could be causing.

The industry study was flawed from the start. The weaknesses built in to it only became worse as decisions were made on exactly how to update it.

In June 1973, the industry’s trade group, then known as the Manufacturing Chemists’ Association, hired the consulting firm Tabershaw-Cooper Associates to tabulate cancers at vinyl-chloride plants. The very first challenge was to compile a list of workers exposed. Quite compared to let scientists at Tabershaw-Cooper ultimately decide which workers must be put on the list, the chemical companies assigned the task to their own plant managers. At Union Carbide, managers decided to include only people working directly along with vinyl chloride, based on some written records yet additionally on supervisors’ distant memories.

Until the mid-1970s, exposure data was crude to non-existent. The managers reasoned that workers’ recollections of the potency of odors — categorized as high, medium or reduced — would certainly be one means to estimate exposures. Jim Tarr, that worked as an air pollution regulator in Texas at the time, said such a means “doesn’t even reach the level of being junk science.”

Tarr, now an environmental consultant in Southern California, said it’s ridiculous to expect anyone to remember distinct odors years after the fact. In fact, vinyl chloride can easily be smelled only at levels far better compared to even the old regulations allowed.

Tabershaw-Cooper’s final report — free of revealing the ways used — said that measuring exposures at the plants “proved generally to be impossible.” It acknowledged that managers’ techniques for determining levels of exposure were “subjective” and had “questionable validity.”

Even along with this problematic data, Tabershaw-Cooper reported in 1974 that there were A lot more brain tumors compared to expected at vinyl chloride plants. A follow-up completed in 1978 reported that brain cancers at vinyl-chloride plants were occurring at two times the normal rate.

There was evidence from the start that Union Carbide workers in Texas City that died of brain cancer had been exposed to vinyl chloride. as soon as news of the very first 10 brain cancers at the plant broke in 1979, Union Carbide’s Gulf Coast medical director, Dr. David Glenn, acknowledged as much while additionally attempting to deflect blame from the chemical.

“Despite the fact that the press has actually strongly indicated that vinyl chloride might have actually been the culprit, only concerning one-half of our [brain cancer] cases had any known exposure to this chemical,” he said in a statement.

Yet none of those workers was included in the study updates that have actually formed the bedrock of today’s scientific consensus. The only brain cancer death from Texas City included in these updates was that of Luther Ott, a 57-year-old production worker that wasn’t even diagnosed until a month after the medical director’s statement. Ott died in February 1980.

Chemical industry officials knew prior to they hired Otto Wong to do an update that none of the 10 brain cancer deaths in Texas City had been included in previous studies, although Glenn said half of the workers had been exposed to vinyl chloride.

One week after Glenn’s statement, Union Carbide’s corporate medical director, Dr. Mike Utidjian, told an industry task force that none of the 10 Texas City victims had a “clear cut” exposure. Nor were any included in previous studies.

Wong said it would certainly have actually made A lot more sense to start the study over Quite compared to update a flawed one.

“From the scientific point of view, a much better approach would certainly be to do a brand-new study,” he said.

That would certainly entail reanalyzing which workers were exposed and which weren’t.

In fact, by March 1981, scientists at Union Carbide had determined that at least four of the workers that died of brain cancer had been exposed to vinyl chloride. The biostatistician that wrote that memo, Rob Schnatter, declined to comment for this story.

Schnatter did not sustain the four dead  workers a secret. He and yet another Union Carbide scientist acknowledged them in an article published in 1983.

Schnatter wanted to amend which workers were in the industry study. In 1982 he sent a memo to his colleagues at Union Carbide, one of whom wrote a handwritten response : “No, we are not adding people to the cohort.”

This reflected a critical decision that all yet guaranteed the study’s outcome. According to the protocol, workers included in the original study could be dropped from updates if brand-new short article showed they hadn’t been exposed to vinyl chloride. yet the reverse wasn’t true. Workers not initially included in the study couldn’t be added even if it turned out that they had been exposed, according to a Union Carbide memo.

In 1974, Tabershaw-Cooper was offered a list of 431 exposed workers from Texas City. yet as soon as the study was updated a decade later, the number of exposed workers had dropped to 289 names.

Susan Austin, a Union Carbide epidemiologist at the time, complained in an internal memo that the strange rules for reclassifying whether workers were exposed “could lead to substantial bias.”

Collins, the former Dow epidemiologist, said it must been nearly impossible to cheat on this type of study. as soon as scientists are deciding which workers were exposed to a chemical, they usually don’t know which ones have actually died. Therefore, they can’t skew the outcome by excluding dead workers.

“There’s no means to fudge the data,” Collins said.

But in this situation, Union Carbide did know which workers had died. It additionally knew it was excluding workers that had been exposed to vinyl chloride. The Focus found no evidence that Union Carbide removed workers along with brain cancer that had been in the original 1974 study. yet the documents prove to that as soon as the study was updated, at least three brain-cancer victims Union Carbide knew had been exposed were not included.

“It looks like they did leave them out by their own admission,” said former NIOSH official Lemen, that at one time served as a consultant for lawyer Baggett.

Kenneth Mundt, the lead author of the most recent update of the vinyl chloride study and a principal at the consulting firm Ramboll Environ, at very first promised to answer questions from the Center. yet weeks later, Mundt said that the study’s sponsor, the American Chemistry Council, wouldn’t permit him or her to talk due to pending litigation.

A Dow spokesperson said, “If Texas City workers met the eligibility criteria … then they would certainly have actually been included in the industry-wide study, regardless of the cause of death …. Not all Texas City workers had opportunity for exposure to vinyl chloride.”

Leuvell Malone’s obituary in the Galveston Day-to-day News on March 8, 1979.

The government study appears to spine up Malone’s claim. NIOSH reported in its study that “maintenance men moved throughout the plant and were exposed to several different agents in an irregular manner.” 

Richard Waxweiler, a former NIOSH epidemiologist involved in the investigation of the Texas City cancer cluster, said in a recent interview that he didn’t know Union Carbide had excluded so several brain-tumor deaths from the industry study. He called it “unusual” that maintenance workers like Malone were left out.

Internal Union Carbide documents prove to that the company didn’t dismiss the opportunity that 10 others workers that died of brain cancer additionally might have actually been exposed to vinyl chloride.

In fact, exposures might have actually been far A lot more widespread. In the plant’s own report to the Texas Air Control Board, which regulated air emissions at the time, Union Carbide said it released 940 tons of vinyl chloride in to the air in 1975. That was after the company had implemented brand-new pollution-control measures.

The Air Control Board calculated that in 1974, the Texas City plant released 3,000 tons of vinyl chloride — 12 times the emissions from all U.S. plants combined in 2014.

Collins said the emissions data don’t prove that everyone at the plant was exposed to vinyl chloride. yet Tarr, that calculated the numbers at the time for the state of Texas, disagrees.

“There’s no question whatsoever that everyone that worked in that plant was exposed to vinyl chloride,” he said. “It was only a question of, just what was the quantity of that exposure and just what was the duration of that exposure?”

Union Carbide strategized for nearly two years on exactly how to limit the threat from government studies of the Texas City cancer cluster. One Union Carbide lawyer advised internally that the A lot more brain cancer deaths there were, the less complicated it would certainly be for widows like Leuvell Malone’s wife, Ada, to win lawsuits.

The company decided to do its own analysis simultaneously, reasoning that “Independent investigations of the same set of data frequently yield differing results.”

The company additionally decided to hold a press conference to announce its results first, telling NIOSH Merely two days in advance. The story was front-page news.

“Our exhaustive studies neither indicate that any deaths as a result of brain cancer have actually been caused by occupational exposure, nor do they suggest any changes to our existing employee health programs or production procedures,” plant manager Damon Engle said in a press release.

Union Carbide said only 12 employees had died of malignant brain tumors. Despite the fact that earlier press reports had been higher, medical specialists at the company were quoted as saying that nine of the brain cancers “were winnowed from the final statistical findings.”

NIOSH was blindsided by Union Carbide’s tactics. as soon as the agency released its own findings two weeks later, media attention already had waned. NIOSH had counted 23 brain-tumor deaths, a rate that was double the national average. And it blamed the deaths on chemicals at the plant.

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